Canelo Kovalev Bet
Nov 24, 2019 Canelo vs Kovalev odds The smaller man, Alvarez, will be as much as a 7 to 1 favorite as projected by BettingInsiderJournal.com when the fight is announced. Kovalev will be a rough 4 to 1 underdog. By Matt Lieberman: Saul Canelo Alvarez is an early favorite with the bettors to defeat WBO light heavyweight champion Sergey Kovalev (34-3-1, 29 KOs) in November. The fight still hasn’t been. Oct 31, 2019 With a simple analysis of the odds for this fight, it is actually quite stunning that Canelo comes into this fight as a 1-4 favorite, with Kovalev being a +300 underdog.
- Canelo vs Kovalev odds: Explaining the large (opening) gap
Multi-division world champion and sports superstar Canelo Alvarez will reportedly challenge WBO light heavyweight champion Sergey Kovalev on November 2 at the MGM Grand in Las Vegas.
Canelo vs Kovalev has not yet been confirmed (as of 9/9 # 2:33 PM) but negotiations appear to be progressing and the fight appears imminent.
Why Canelo vs Kovalev?
It's obvious. Team Canelo thinks the much bigger Kovalev would be an easier assignment than a third fight with rival Gennady Golovkin. Moreover, fighting the Russian would give Canelo an opportunity to win a world title in his fourth weight class and enhance his legacy by defeating the consensus top-rated light heavyweight in the process.
At the elite level, the risk vs reward factor prevails in big fights, and Team Canelo believes Canelo vs Kovalev is the better option; especially considering Canelo would make a ton of money fighting either.
So, who has the upper-hand? Regardless of what experts think, one fighter will open as a healthy favorite.
Canelo vs Kovalev odds
The smaller man, Alvarez, will be as much as a 7 to 1 favorite as projected by BettingInsiderJournal.com when the fight is announced. Kovalev will be a rough 4 to 1 underdog per the same outfit.
That's a bit surprising given Kovalev's size, pedigree and ring accomplishments. He's also regarded by many as the world's best light heavyweight.
Look for the Canelo vs Kovalev odds to shrink a bit prior to fight time. Nevertheless, the betting lines falsely suggest Alvarez should clearly have his way with 'Krusher.'
Canelo Kovalev Betting Odds
The opening odds certainly won't be reflective of threat Kovalev possesses. So, what are insiders seeing in this showdown?
1. Kovalev vs smaller, faster elite-level opponents
Everyone knows about Abel Sanchez's long and successful run as Golovkin's trainer. However, some don't realize Abel trained Kovalev, then a little-known newbie, for a brief stint. In fact, Sanchez proclaimed he guided the Russian to eight knockout wins and, for a short time, had both fighters in his stable concurrently and had them spar each other despite the size difference.
“Kovalev was afraid of Golovkin when he was in the ring with him,” recalled Sanchez. I couldn’t spar them too much because Kovalev showed Gennady too much respect in the ring.'
'When he did spar Gennady, Sergey would fall apart and wouldn’t pose much of a challenge for Golovkin. It was either too much respect or too much fear.”
Was it the hand-speed? The movement? The body attack?
In all fairness, Kovalev later insisted Sanchez was bitter because he was replaced by John David Jackson who, as Kovalev's now former trainer, would guide Sergey to the mountaintop of the division and the subsequent spoils that accompany success.
Kathy Duva, Sergey's promoter, also suggested Sanchez's comments were unfair, insisting that version of Sergey was still a work in progress when he trained under Sanchez.
One must wonder, though, what Team Canelo sees that makes them so eager to challenge the fearsome Kovalev. They obviously see something and it might be related to some of the apparent issues Kovalev had when sparring Golovkin.
2.Vulnerable to the body
When Canelo vs Kovalev was initially rumored, trainer Sanchez also suggested Canelo would defeat Kovalev with his bodywork. We've seen Kovalev get hit and hurt to the body, especially in his rematch with Ward. But Ward is a naturally bigger and rangier fighter than Canelo and their styles are different.
Nevertheless, remember how successful Canelo worked the body against the rangier Rocky Fielding last December? It was beautiful. It was violent. And most of all, Fielding had no answer for it.
... But Kovalev's backers would insist Rocky Fielding is certainly not Sergey Kovalev.
Expect to see Canelo try to work the body as he did with Fielding below. How much success he'll have remains to be seen.
3. Age / Recent Performances
Is Kovalev starting to slow down at 36? There was certainly no shame in losing to Andre Ward. Kovalev also redeemed himself well after losing his first bout with Eleider Alvarez. And more recently, Sergey rallied back to brilliantly knockout previously unbeaten Anthony Yarde after appearing to be on the verge of getting stopped himself.
Yes, Kovalev is getting touched up more these days but Canelo's advocates shouldn't place a great deal of emphasis on Sergey's age. After all, he arguably deserved the nod in the first Ward fight, was having his way with Alvarez in their first bout before getting caught with a big shot, and rebounded heroically to comeback and KO a young, hungry knockout artist in the 11th Round of a fight he was controlling.
Contrary to herd mentality, Kovalev hasn't been exposed as an old man; he's been exposed as a bad ass.
His most recent performances against Alvarez and Yarde tell us he has fine recuperative powers, a solid chin, and can stick and move like a pure boxer to win a fight on points if need be.
And aside from the great Andre Ward, he's decisively defeated every opponent he's face to date.
4. A-side vs B-side
If Canelo vs Kovalev goes to the distance, the onus will be on Kovalev, the champion, to separate himself and leave no doubt.
I hate to say it but it's true. Despite rare cases, the A side fighter generally receives the benefit of the doubt in a close, high-profile fight.
Joe Louis vs Jersey Joe Walcott I, Muhammad Ali vs Ken Norton III, Sugar Ray Leonard VS Marvin Hagler, Oscar De La Hoya vs Felix Sturm, Ward vs Kovalev I, De La Hoya vs Whitaker, Ali vs Shavers, Marciano vs LaStarza I and more....
If, for instance, nothing happens in the first two rounds while the fighters are still trying to adapt to each other's style, Canelo will likely enter Round 3 with a 20-18 lead on the cards.
Canelo arguably benefited from being the A-side in his draw with Gennady Golovkin and razor thin wins over Erislandy Lara and Daniel Jacobs. Conversely, Andre Ward, as the A-side fighter against Kovalev, arguably got the benefit of the doubt in his first bout with Sergey, winning a close but unanimous decision.
In sum
Canelo Alvarez is a special fighter who is extremely hard to hit cleanly and is very versatile in the ring.It's easy to see why he will open as the clear favorite. But, a 7 to 1 favorite? That's a bit ridiculous.
Look for the odds to tighten a bit but don't be surprised if Canelo is still a 4 to 1 favorite come fight time, with Kovalev being a 2 1/2 or 3 to 1 underdog.
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Canelo Kovalev Betting
Saul Canelo Alvarez (52-1-2, 35 KOs) vs. Sergey Kovalev (34-3-1, 29 KOs)
Saturday, November 2 at 11:50 PM ET (approximate) at MGM Grand Garden Arena
Coverage: DAZN
Canelo Alvarez is coming off a close unanimous decision win over Daniel Jacobs in a middleweight championship unification fight on May 4 at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas. Alvarez added Jacobs’ IBF middleweight belt to the WBA and WBC middleweight championships that he won from Gennady Golovkin in their second fight on September 15, 2018.
Jacobs was not able to find the elusive Alvarez for long stretches and while he did come out strong in the second half, landing 131 of 649 punches, Alvarez displayed patience, poise and technique for all 12 rounds. Now Alvarez will go after a world title in a fourth division.
Sergey Kovalev, a three-time light heavyweight champion, had an 11th-round knockout against the previously unbeaten Anthony Yarde to retain the WBO light heavyweight championship in Russia on August 24. This will be Kovalev’s 17th straight world title fight. Yarde had a great showing against him, earning his respect.
The British boxer recovered from a slow start and even landed strong shots in the eighth round but Kovalev’s experience surfaced and he countered in the late rounds before flooring him with a big left handed.
Canelo Alvarez has never fought above super middleweight and he can join Sugar Ray Leonard, Thomas Hearns and Mike McCallum as the only fighters in boxing history to win titles at 154 lbs and 175 lbs.
This is what Kovalev had to say about the fight: “Canelo has nothing to lose in this fight. He has a chance to make history. But I have to defend my title. This is the biggest fight of my career. I’ve never been in this situation, where someone is coming from middleweight. I’m not going to make a prediction, but I am going to go in there and defend my title. I think Canelo will be just as strong at light heavyweight. I think he will weigh the same as me, 175 pounds. He will be heavier than usual, but I think he will be comfortable. When you lose weight for a fight, you lose power and stamina, and he won’t have to do that.”
Canelo Kovalev Bet Game
Alvarez explained his mindset and how he feels: “I feel good! This is the weight I’m usually at during my normal life so it’s natural for me. I’ve been eating well, lifting more weights because I normally don’t lift weights when I’m losing weight. I’ve been eating how I normally do, of course staying healthy, but adding more rice, protein and carbohydrates. I’m entering his zone of comfort but we’re ready for this. We have the intelligence and skill to beat Kovalev and win the fight. It’s going to be one of the most important fights for me and my career. This title is very important, to be a four-time world champion in different divisions.”
This can be a really intriguing and entertaining fight, Kovalev has significant advantages in weight, strength, height and reach and Alvarez has to be very careful. I do think that Canelo will find a way to dominate late and get a unanimous decision.
There’s a reason why Kovalev is nicknamed “Krusher.” The Russian has heavy hands and he can let them flu against a smaller opponent like Alvarez. If Kovalev wants to win, he has to try to corner Canelo Alvarez and knock him out. As for Alvarez, he is elusive and he will likely try to stay outside and use counters to get in, hit Kovalev’s body and eventually win by decision.
Free Boxing Picks:Canelo Alvarez by Decision -110 at BetOnline. I also like the fight to go the distance -140